Wednesday, August 5 2026 18:20
Karina Melikyan

Economic activity growth in Armenia accelerated to 7.9% in H1 2026,  while foreign trade remains in decline

Economic activity growth in Armenia accelerated to 7.9% in H1 2026,  while foreign trade remains in decline

ArmInfo.In Armenia, economic activity growth accelerated to 7.9% annually in the first half of 2026 (up from 6.3% in the same period of 2025). urthermore,  the industrial sector managed to recover from a downturn into  double-digit growth, re-establishing itself as one of the key drivers  of economic growth.

According to preliminary data from the Statistical Committee of the Republic of Armenia, foreign trade remains in decline, though the drop is now minor, unlike the significant slump recorded a year ago. 

According to the statistics, the acceleration of economic activity  growth in the first half of 2026 was driven by an improvement in the  annual dynamics of the industrial sector—shifting from a 12.1%  decline to a 10.8% growth—as well as a surge in construction sector  growth from 18.5% to 24.5%. Growth in the energy sector noticeably  accelerated, rising from 4% to 10%. Meanwhile, the trade sector,  which leads in volume, continued to lose momentum, with its growth  rate slowing from 3.9% to 0.9%. At the same time, the services  sector, which holds the second-largest volume, accelerated its growth  from 9.8% to 11%. The performance of the agricultural sector  deteriorated, reversing from a 7.3% growth into a double-digit 11.9%  decline.

According to statistical data for the first half of 2026, the trade  sector maintains its leadership in absolute volume with 3.2 trillion  drams ($8.4 billion). The services sector ranks second in volume at  2.2 trillion drams ($5.7 billion), followed by the industrial sector  in third place at 1.5 trillion drams ($4.1 billion). The agricultural  sector occupies the fourth position with 310.1 billion drams ($828.3  million), and the construction sector ranks fifth with 282.2 billion  drams ($754 million). Electricity generation volume in the first half  of 2026 totaled 5,163.7 million kWh, of which 782.8 million kWh was  generated in June alone.

Moreover, in June 2026, the dynamics of the industrial sector  worsened from 1.2% growth to a 3.1% decline, while a year earlier in  the same month there was an imperceptible slowdown in growth from  2.9% to 2.5%. At the same time, growth in the construction sector  stalled in June of this year - from 27.2% to 19.5%, and in the  service sector - from 6.9% to 5.7%. At the same time, the improvement  in dynamics for June of this year was observed in the trade sector -  with an exit from a 1.6% decline to a 6.3% growth, and in the energy  complex - with an exit from a 2.3% decline to a 1.6% growth.

On an annual basis (June 2026 compared to June 2025), an upward trend  was demonstrated by all sectors except the trade sector, which  contracted by 0.1%. In particular, the highest annual growth was  recorded by the construction sector at 25.4%, followed by  double-digit growth in the services sector at 19.7% and the energy  complex at 11.5%, while the industrial sector managed to emerge from  a downturn into a 4% growth. A year earlier, in June 2025 compared to  June 2024, with the exception of the industrial sector which dropped  by 1.2%, all other spheres maintained growth: the construction sector  at 22.6%, the services sector at 8.2%, the energy complex at 6.6%,  and the trade sector at 2.8%.

Against this backdrop, Armenia's foreign trade turnover in the first  half of 2026 totaled 3.6 trillion drams ($9.6 billion), declining by  a mere 0.1% per annum (compared to a 45% slump a year ago). This  sharp deceleration of the decline stemmed from an improvement in  import dynamics—shifting from a 38.6% drop to 4% growth—and a  noticeable slowdown in export contraction from 52.8% to 6.7%. As a  result, the absolute volume of exports for the first half of 2026  amounted to 1.3 trillion drams ($3.4 billion), while imports reached  2.3 trillion drams ($6.1 billion).

In June 2026, compared to June 2025, foreign trade turnover also  remained in a decline, though with a deceleration of rates from 16.6%  to 3.3%. Specifically, the improvement in import dynamics—shifting  from a 17.1% drop to an 8.6% growth—was accompanied by an  acceleration in the export decline from 15.9% to 20.5%. In June of  this year alone, foreign trade turnover moved out of a 3.4% decline  into a 7.3% growth, resulting from a similar improvement in the  dynamics of both exports and imports—shifting from a 3.5–3.4% drop to  a 5–8.5% growth. A year earlier, in June 2025, a similar pattern was  observed, but back then the growth of foreign trade was more  noticeable at 9.4% and stemmed primarily from a double-digit 23.6%  increase in exports, rather than from imports, which grew by only  0.9%, compared to double-digit declines of these indicators in May  2025 of 14.8%, 19%, and 12%, respectively.

Note, starting in 2023, the methodology for calculating electricity  generation volumes in statistical reports changed to include  electricity generated by autonomous producers. Data for the  agricultural sector are published only in quarterly and annual  statistical reports. (The average calculated exchange rate of the  dram in the first half of 2026 was 374.32 AMD/$1, compared to 391.31  AMD/$1 a year ago).